Wednesday 20 April 2011

Boots on the ground: might that lead for Russia to regain the Middle East?


NATO airstrikes have turned Libyan government forces back from Benghazi at the outset of attacks, but they failed to end up with final solution. The advancement of loyalists followed and now many observers warn against a stalemate unless on ground operations support anti-Kaddafi forces. The western actors have breached visible neutrality by judging Kaddafi just go. 

Meanwhile the increasing rigor and pressure on Libyan leader to resign, the limitation of UN resolution on Libya to back up anything beyond the non-fly zone and airstrikes is getting ever more evident. Hesitations in home countries about deeper immense into the conflict on opposition side are raised and British parliament, for example,  is preparing to discuss after the Easter vacation if the government was deliberately stretching the limits of UN resolution and escalating the UK role in Libyan conflict. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-13112559
 
The first phase of Western engagement in Libya is over, the Kaddafi forces “have weathered the storm and his regime has not collapsed.” http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-13142441 . However opening a new phase to bolster anti-Kaddafi forces on ground is the unknown zone of implications. Rightfully indeed there is a concern of Arab public opinion and ghost of Iraq intervention outcomes that did not bring peace and security to people whom it was declared to serve. 

Indeed what is mostly silenced in Western media but has been evident in Arab news is that Arab revolution has not only been a rise of democracy aspirations but also a wider sense of human dignity and resurrection of new pan-Arab sentiments. http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/02/201121115231647934.html
 
An outcry for Justice was also rooted in continuing stalemate of Middle East conflict and refugee rights in the region. More consistent dedication to democracy and human rights is required not only from Arabs but also from advanced democracies in Europe and the US. It seems to be quite consistent evolution of once started movement towards humane political order and justice. This time there is a chance to merge the lines of people striving to global peace and justice. All actors are questioned on that testing inside their countries and in their neighbourhoods and relations with others. Alternatively a counter process of reviving polarisation is imminent.

It was not of a sudden that Russian political analysts started revisiting the Middle East policy of the bygone super power. Failure of the West to establish a dialogue with Islam and growing common Arab political space is seen as a chance for Russia to regain the Middle East after three decades of the break. http://www.riss.ru/doklady_i_vystuplenija/doklady_i_vystuplenija?newsId=336/  Misbalances and inconsistency of Western policy in the Middle East work as arguments to assert a new dawn of western imperialism. http://www.riss.ru/aktualnye_kommentarii/?commentsId=145
 
What can the people in struggle for democracy, dignity and human rights expect of such well known landscape of clashing interests? Are we coming to the start of vicious circle, or in fact are stepping to new phase of international order and relationship between western democracies and struggling democracies in the East?  New perspective is seen on horizon of long history of East and West relationship and contest. This phase is about transformation of all principal actors. And that is an essence of new phase, but not just new faces in Arab policy.

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