How successful will the transfer to democracy go in Egypt is
still a question, but changes of Egyptian stand on Arab-Israel conflict is
evident. We happened to predict that more cohesive approach by Arab states on
the conflict will be among outcomes of Arab spring. We have also noticed that
the wind of changes on river Nile might overhaul the architecture of Middle
East conflict. More precisely it might promote a value of Arab unity http://blog-abunajla.blogspot.com/2011/02/resurrection-of-new-arab-unity-can.html
and revive Egyptian leadership http://blog-abunajla.blogspot.com/2011/05/arab-revolution-may-overhaul-middle.html
.
Agreement
that has come between Fatah and Hamas was clearest manifestation of that
emerging trend. Disclosure of the US view of 1967 borders to go between two
states in Palestine laid a scheme of eventual conflict resolution that has reflected
some new realities in the region.
Another Egyptian step on the direction was easing Palestinian Arabs to
cross the borderline at Rafah crossing station. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-13581141
However the Israel government did not consider the changes
of Arab world a call for everybody to change. Conventional priority of Israel
stand was based on hostility with Arabs and on anti-Arab alliances. In Egypt the Middle East policy changes have
come after renewal of society challenges, and similarly in Israel we could
imagine such changes to take place also
after renovation of the national political sphere.
Consistent steps by Egypt, more clarity of the US stand,
sliding of French and British policy towards recognition of unilateral announcement
of Palestinian are indicators of increasing pressure on Israel. Another testing
exam is the September UN General Assembly, at which the Palestinian state
announcement is expected.
Will the
conflicting approaches reconcile by the time, or Palestinians take a break in
ascending campaign until new presidential election in the US? Both options are
valued as positive scenario that should finally lead to changes in Israeli
society and government policy, unless another disastrous escalation of violence
come to set back the matter to a mere confrontation and hatred that used to
serve certain militarist interests, but not simple citizens.
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